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Incorporating network perspectives in foresight: A methodological proposal

Friday, 27 November 2009 Leave a comment Go to comments

Foresight (2009), Volume 11(6): 21-41
Yanuar Nugroho and Ozcan Saritas

Abstract

Purpose – A particular feature that makes foresight powerful is its capability to learn from past trends to help guide decision-making for future policy. However, in studying both past and future trends, network perspectives are often missing. Since networks are capable of revealing the structure that underpins relationships between stakeholders, key issues and actions in the past, they are powerful to help envisage the future. The purpose of this paper is to propose a methodological framework to incorporate network analysis in foresight.

Design/methodology/approach – The paper develops a generic framework to incorporate network analysis into foresight’s five stages. Trends identified by respondents of the Big Picture Survey are used to demonstrate how we operationalize this framework.

Findings – A network perspective can enrich foresight analysis in that it helps reveal structural linkages between trends and thus can better identify emerging future issues, both of which are critical in foresight.

Research limitations/implications – The inclusion of network analysis can shed light on the process of understanding complex data and assist in building a model based on links and relationships. Network analysis can reveal otherwise unobservable structural features of the data and can help boundary setting discussions in foresight.

Practical implications – Network concepts and measures could usefully enrich the interpretation of foresight data for further analysis, or plausible scenarios.

Originality/value – Network analysis offers a new way of looking at the foresight data by disentangling complicated issue webs. As shaping the future becomes more essential because of the complexity of science, technology and society interrelationships, the incorporation of network perspectives in foresight might be one of the ways to propel future studies.

Keywords: Networking, Social networks

Article type: Research paper

Article URL: http://www.emeraldinsight.com/10.1108/14636680911004948

If you do not have access, email me or Ozcan. We might be able to send you the proof or the submitted draft – depending on your purpose… :-)

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  1. Ruby
    Saturday, 9 June 2012 at 3:25 pm | #1

    Kepada Yth Dr Yanuar Nugroho & Muhammad Fajri Siregar,

    Perkenalkan saya, Ruby Tobing mahasiswa Business Information di Universität Wien, Vienna. Saat ini saya sedang mengerjakan paper sebagai tugas saya dalam ICT Risk Handling Capabilities yang mencakup bidang Media, Social, dan Banking. Dalam research dokumen, saya telah menemukan dokumen Anda beserta rekan Mapping media policy in Indonesia dan dokumen ini saya akui sangat menarik dan bermutu. Untuk itu saya meminta ijin untuk mereferensi paper Anda dalam paper saya.
    Dalam paper, Anda menggunakan Network Mapping pada Figure 6.1 dan Figure 6.2, Apakah saya dijinkan bertanya mengenai nodes dan vertices yang Anda berikan pada Appendix? Dengan software apakah yang Anda gunakan ? Dan bila diperkenankan, mohon beri penjelasan mengenai bagaimana Anda mendapatkan nilai integer pada vertices dan nodes? Dan menjelaskan apakah nodes ini?
    Saya tunggu balasan Anda.
    Terima kasih atas kesabaran dan pertolongan Anda.

    Salam hormat,
    Ruby Tobing

  1. Sunday, 12 February 2012 at 1:27 am | #1
  2. Sunday, 12 February 2012 at 3:07 am | #2

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