Tulisan saya bersama Ozcan Saritas tentang “menerawang masa depan”, tampil di jurnal bergengsi (bintang 3) Technological Forecasting and Social Change – TFSC (Vol 79 (3) March 2012, Pages 509–529). Tulisan ini adalah analisis lebih lanjut tentang data yang kami gunakan dalam paper tahun 2009 ketika kami menggabungkan Network Analysis dengan foresight. Kalau dalam paper 2009 kami lebih berkutat pada metodologi, maka pada paper ini kami berfokus pada data dan interpretasinya.
NGOs, THE INTERNET AND SUSTAINABLE RURAL DEVELOPMENT
The case of Indonesia
Information, Communication and Society, 13(1):88-120, 2010
Today sustainable rural development is of paramount importance in Indonesian development. Yet, different social actors have different perspectives on it. Non-government organizations (NGOs) in Indonesia have established themselves in pivotal positions in the social, economic and political landscape across the country, and a large amount of their work has been connected with development in the rural sector. But, there has been little attempt to understand how NGOs in Indonesia, particularly rural NGOs, engage with the issue of sustainable rural development itself. Since rural development is one of the oldest issues to be discussed among activists, since the early days of Indonesian NGOs, it is interesting to see how they understand the issue of sustainability in rural development and rural reform. An empirical study was conducted recently to see how some Indonesian NGOs, in their endeavour to respond to and broaden the discourse, utilize Internet technology. The study employs a combination of quantitative and qualitative approaches to build a detailed story about how different organizations working in rural development deploy strategies to deal with the issue. By doing so, it aspires to contribute to the advancement of theory relating to the efficacy of the Internet as a tool for social reform and sustainable development by taking Indonesia as a case study.
Purpose – A particular feature that makes foresight powerful is its capability to learn from past trends to help guide decision-making for future policy. However, in studying both past and future trends, network perspectives are often missing. Since networks are capable of revealing the structure that underpins relationships between stakeholders, key issues and actions in the past, they are powerful to help envisage the future. The purpose of this paper is to propose a methodological framework to incorporate network analysis in foresight.
Design/methodology/approach – The paper develops a generic framework to incorporate network analysis into foresight’s five stages. Trends identified by respondents of the Big Picture Survey are used to demonstrate how we operationalize this framework.
Studi penggunaan teknologi informasi dan komunikasi di kalangan kelompok/organisasi masyarakat sipil di Indonesia bagi perubahan sosial
Secara umum, studi ini terletak dalam gagasan mengenai ‘studi inovasi’ dan ‘teknologi dan perubahan sosial’. Secara khusus, studi ini mempelajari bagaimana kelompok/organisasi masyarakat sipil (selanjutnya demi hemat kata, disingkat CSO, civil society organisation) menggunakan teknologi informasi, khususnya yang termediasi oleh komputer dan melalui internet (internet-based CMC), untuk mencapai misi dan tujuannya melakukan perubahan sosial.